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Light Front - six or less defenders in the box. I could have penalized him for this fact but chose not to weight actually has a slightly negative correlation to fantasy production for TEs. College Dominator Rating is not relevant for the quarterback position. SPARQ had test protocols for six sports american football, boys'/girls' soccer, baseball, fastpitch, boys'/girls' basketball, as well as a test for general athleticism. Slot Rate - the percentage of passing down snaps a wide receiver or tight end lines up in the slot. At the end of the day, Smith dropped a tier in my overall rankings but still ranks as my WR2 in this class. By Speed Score Pitts 130.7 ranks 2nd-best (behind Davis), while Harris moves to 29th-best since 2000. He averaged 7.9 rushing FPG in 2020 after averaging 5.3 rushing FPG across his first two seasons. Josh Imatorbhebhes 180.5 burst score ranks 5th-best since 2000. 2005-2023 CBS INTERACTIVE ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Because if you add in the elite 40-time and the strong SPORQ score (85.8) in spite of the size concerns, he looks like an extremely high-level prospect. Accuracy Rating grades the accuracy each of throw on a 1-10 scale. However, a bulk of his production came on the ground. Players with one or the other (with production mattering more than athleticism) were somewhere in between. Target Share measures the percentage of all passing targets directed at a particular wide receiver or tight end in games that that receiver was involved in the passing attack. Mitchell's 40 time, coupled with his performances in the vertical jump, the agility shuttle and the kneeling power ball toss, earned him a score of 154.47, which earned Frank Darby (ADP: WR26) posted a 29.6 SPORQ score. The predictive power of air yards were first discussed by Josh Hermsmeyer in his introduction to the predictive qualities of air yards on RotoViz.com and his AirYards.com property. Funk probably doesnt get drafted, but Evans and (then) Nwangwu are expected to see their names called on Day 3. 34.5% of the RBs in the 90th-100th percentile had at least one RB1 fantasy season. High week-to-week volatility negatively impacts standard league formats that require lineups to be manually set each week. He needs to be viewed as an A.J. Like I said, Moore was penalized due to his height, but whatever reduction I gave him (via SPORQ score) was always going to be wholly arbitrary. For reference, Speed Score, 40-time, and the 3-Cone (in order) were the three most important events for shorter WRs. Justin Fields averaged 10.2 rushing FPG and 64.6 rushing YPG in 2020, after averaging 9.2 and 49.1 in 2019. This means that a 0.0 z-score and Thats about as official as these numbers are going to get this year. to get him working on his body - if relations weren't so strained Good stuff Chowder. Fellow Auburn WR Seth Williams SPORQ score was solid (69.5), but he jumped in my rankings primarily due to a miscalculation in Phase I of my model. Harris 6.51 3-Cone is the best mark ever recorded by a TE, and would rank 2nd-best among RBs (just ahead of Christian McCaffrey) and 7th-best among WRs. Elijah Mitchell and Travis Etienne both posted a broad jump of 128, which ranks 22nd-best since 2000. Target Rate Ratio of total targets to total routes run by running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. The tests were designed to test the skills and athleticism demanded by each sport. The scouts are on to him and I believe he had great workout numbers. Overall, this corner class is fine, but also includes a potentially rare top-five prospect Jeffrey Okudahs tape was phenomenal in my opinion -- go watch him against Clemson -- and he backed it up with 96th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athleticism. For one thing, hes exceedingly young the youngest WR in this class (age: 20.6). Looking back at my top-5 RBs, all except Najee Harris (DNQ) hit the necessary thresholds to retain their rankings. Elite athleticism and has the production After averaging 62.9 YPG in 2019, he bumped that up to 95.7 in 2020. 2023 Post-Draft Market Report: Rookie QBs and TEs, Barrett's 2023 NFL Rookie Dynasty Rankings, 2023 Rookie RB Rankings for Dynasty Fantasy Football, DraftKings XFL Semifinals DFS Tournament Plays, Brett Whitefield's Final 2023 NFL Mock Draft, Scott Barrett's Final 2023 NFL Mock Draft, 2023 Pre-NFL Draft Rookie WR Dynasty Rankings. Solid numbers in the jumps and the bench press were not enough to offset the pedestrian 40-time at his size (88.8 Speed Score). Williams (0.4 years older than Schwartz) averaged 64.3 YPG through three seasons at Auburn, compared to Schwartzs 43.4 YPG. Reportedly, Harris has been clocked at 4.45 in the 40-yard-dash and 3.7 in the short shuttle. I urge you to review my Pre-Combine rankings and analysis, which you can read here. Production Premium also takes into account time remaining and game score to account for non-standard situations such as 2-minute drills, clock-milking, and garbage time. The SPARQ was not created to measure athleticism in NFL prospects. In order to display a more granular percentile rank for comparison purposes, Breakout Ages are listed to the tenth decimal place. DeVonta Smith on the other hand Smith elected not to workout at Alabamas Pro Day. By factoring out the disproportionate impact of long runs, the metric rewards running back consistency. He earned the "Now I have to go back and watch the tape" award. He'd be a good candidate to send to Deebo. For example, the athletic traits a corner needs (speed, agility) are a lot different than the athletic traits a defensive tackle needs (burst, strength), but the SPARQ formula doesnt change based on position. My Pre-Combine model viewed JaMarr Chase as the best WR prospect since at least 2015. Due to a minor ankle injury, Najee Harris didnt workout at his Pro Day, and as such recorded a SPORQ score of DNQ (Did Not Qualify). Williams was heavily penalized due to his low weight, at only 175 pounds (with a height of 5 8.5). The metric is calculated by dividing total fantasy points by total targets. 2020 Adjusted SPARQ Scores (Offense) SPARQ does a great job of analyzing overall athleticism, but I showed how little it means for projecting NFL success The Cincinnati Bengals have finally answered at least one part of the question at the running back position by taking Illinois Chase Brown in the fifth round of the 2023 NFL draft. Hes reached at least 50 yards in 20 of his 24 games over this span, and his 3.11 YPRR average in 2020 ranked 6th-best in this class. I find it a better way to compare SPARQ scores. WebWide receiver. Is there a player youd like to check that you cant find on the site? He should be consistently mocked within the first 20 picks now Most of the Day 2 corners tested near historical averages, except for Damon Arnette (26th percentile) and Cameron Dantzler (5th percentile) who disappointed versus expectations. Albert O was the only tight end to finish above the 75th percentile level Hunter Bryant, Harrison Bryant, and Jared Pinkney watched their stocks drop with sub-20th percentile athleticism. But he does have projected draft capital on his side (Dane Brugler is projecting Round 2 or Round 3). For wide receivers and tight ends, the dominator rating is the percentage of team receiving production. Is that why hes now expected to be drafted on Day 2? Still, his production profile is strong enough that he didnt at all fall in my rankings despite just missing the 50th percentile benchmark. If his frame can handle the weight and build on his strength, he might, turn into something. Still, he ranks as my TE6 in this class, and Id consider taking him in Round 5 of a TE Premium Superflex rookie draft on the off chance hes the next Robert Tonyan. Catch Radius first discussed by Scott Smith in a piece titled The Catch Radius Project: In Search of Better TD Production, the metric incorporates a players ability to cover ground as well as his ability to get vertical in order to score a players capacity to reaching the football in a 3-dimensional space. Ultimately his small stature and miniature catch radius is a major red flag, but its hard to quantify exactly how damning of a red flag it is. But no hes not anywhere close to becoming a replacement one day for Vince. Overall, this edge class stinks and didnt help themselves at the Combine Chase Young didnt test, but he doesnt have to after destroying the Big Ten last season It was the Tier 2 edge rushers who were so disappointing. Every players on-field performance is affected by his teammates. This metric is especially useful when examining the impact of a quarterback upgrade on a wide receivers future production. In other words, for a particular game to count against his fantasy points per game, he must have had a passing attempt, carry, or target. His 40-time (4.44), 3-Cone (6.85), and broad jump (128.0) were solid, but much less impressive at his size (97.3 Speed Score), and his lack of size (189 pounds, 25.2) surely played a role in his unexpectedly low score. Expected Touchdowns the total number of touchdowns the average NFL player would expect to score based on the field position and game situation of every pass attempt, touch, and target. Since 1995, the only sub-180-pound RB to hit triple-digit fantasy points in a single season is Dexter McCluster, who accomplished this feat only once. For tight ends and running backs, a 15% Dominator Rating is necessary to qualify for a breakout designation. You can find this chart here, along with where all of these players rank since 2000. 23 Most Interesting Things I Heard At Combine, athleticism is a very small portion of an interior linemans total evaluation. It factors weight into a players 40-yard dash time assigning a premium to fast times run by bigger, often spaner, running backs. And again, athleticism doesnt matter anywhere near as much as college production, and Smiths numbers were off the charts in that regard. Stevenson, who I liked even more than my model did, also fell, but not as far. Hell have to improve at his Pro Day to regain his Day 1 status Terrell Lewis and Yetur Gross-Matos did okay in the drills they participated in, but they didnt run the forty Luckily, Jabari Zuniga, Casey Toohill, James Smith-Williams, and Carter Coughlin all finished inside the 80th percentile as above-average athletes for the position. Where did these players rank in Phase I of my model (something akin to a composite production and efficiency score)? From an athletic-standpoint, only Vernon Davis ranks higher by SPORQ (of 375 qualifiers since 2000). Metcalf (12.97), Chase Claypool (124.7), and Jazz Ferguson (115.8) since 2016. Hes jumped from WR9 in my rankings to WR7. Stuck in a RBBC at Louisiana, my Pre-Combine model didnt love his lack of production or the fact that hes from a small school, but he flashed in a number of important efficiency metrics. Base Front - seven defenders in the box. Rondale Moore was heavily penalized due to his short stature (57), but helped make up some ground with some absurd numbers in the 40, Vert, 3-Cone, and Shuttle. on the spreadsheets. Similar in concept to Agility Score, Burst Score sums a players Vertical Jump height and Broad Jump distance. And then theres a big tier fall-off the Little 3 should all be selected within the mid-Round 2 to early-Round 3 range. Hell join a team in 2021, but its unlikely he ever contributes beyond special teams, Strachan is the biggest WR in this class at 65 and 226 lbs but also one of the oldest (23.7). Fehoko (64, 222 pounds) is the most-exciting of the bunch (WR15 in my rankings). His incredible flexion might just be the thing that sets him apart. Dyami Brown (ADP: WR11) posted a 49.5 SPORQ score. How to read this: Jabari Zuniga is a 90th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete.. Neither DeVonta Smith nor Jaylen Waddle participated in their workouts at the Alabama Pro Day. To qualify as a slot receiver on any given play, a receiver must be lined up inside and covered up by a outside receiver in either three or four-receiver sets. Burn Rate -Percentage of targets allowed in which the defensive back's assigned receiver gained more than 5 yards of downfield separation. He has good size (62, 205 pounds) and his SPORQ score is near-elite (90.2). The metric assumes 1 point for every ten yards rushing or receiving, 1 point for every 25 passing yards, 1 point per reception (PPR), and 4 points for quarterback passing touchdowns. Mac Jones averaged 1.1 rushing FPG in 2020. After the purchase, both the headquarters and distribution center were incorporated into Nike's operations. Heres a twitter thread looking at some historical player comparisons for the 2021 class based on athletic profile. Last season, among all Power-5 WRs, he ranked behind only Jaylen Waddle in yards after the catch per reception (9.0). After an elite showing at his Pro Day, recording a class-high 98.0 SPORQ score, I like Chase even more now, and I didnt even think that could be possible. Atwell ranked 8th in my Pre-Combine model, but I was certain hed fall during this phase of the process. Good stuff Chowder. Chase (3.99) is one of only 39 WRs to post a short shuttle time under 4.00. Thats tied with Julio Jones and 1.0 less than D.K. According to my Pre-Combine Model, Pitts is the best TE prospect to come out since at least 2014, and maybe the best TE prospect ever. WebIf you scroll to the right, there is a weighted Athletic Profile column. Okudah is clearly the top corner and will be among my top non-quarterback prospects this season C.J. Fantasy Points Per Opportunity measures running back fantasy points in the context of the players overall usage and playmaking prowess. Ben Masons 29 bench press reps ranks 9th-most since 2000. If the athlete does not reach the start line in time, a warning is given, and the test is completed when two warnings are given. Target Premium Rich Hribar coined the term Target Multiplier in an XN Sports Fantasy Football: 2013 WR Review article. Happy Draft Week 2023! Running backs and wide receivers are held to a different standard as times of 4.50 or below are considered fast for RBs and WRs. Well built and very athletic. projected upcoming or current year production is more heavily weighted than future seasons), which ensures that more productive older players are more valuable than significantly less productive younger players. And Smith surely does not have Jacksons 4.35 wheels. What do you guys think about Brian Burns? Isaiah Simmons rightfully called it a day after running a 4.39 forty, which locked in a 99th percentile Adjusted SPARQ score. Good call here. Terrace Marshall (ADP: WR6) was another big winner. This probably means hes not close to the prospect Montgomery was or that Hall is, but few are, Evans, a former 4-star prospect, started in only six of 42 career games, and will be 24 years old as a rookie in 2021. Imathorbhebhes 46.5-inch vert jump is a new record, and 1.5 inches more than the next-closest WR. Demetric Felton (ADP: RB15), if listed as a WR, would have posted a 8.1 SPORQ score. Its a piece of the puzzle. Worse yet, Smith is listed at 60 and 170 pounds. Thats also a major red flag. Cade Johnson (ADP: WR28) posted a 20.2 SPORQ score. Catch Radius affects a players ability to succeed in the red zone, particularly on fade routes and 50-50 balls. The 4.44 40-yard-dash helped make up some ground, but he still profiles as only an average athlete for the position. Apr 21st 2022. Since 2000, only one TE has ever recorded a faster time at the NFL Combine (Vernon Davis, 4.38). Wex loves his bend, but you're right, he's slight. Athleticism isnt super important for QBs outside of what it means for their Konami Code-potential, but that can be a massive factor. Both are elite times at his size (61, 232 pounds). Red Zone Target Share measures the percentage of all passing targets from a line of scrimmage at or inside the 20-yard line directed at a particular wide receiver or tight end in games that the receiver was involved in the passing attack. 23 Most Interesting Things I Heard At Combine, how little athleticism matters for safety. Remember NIKE developed the SPARQ with three goals in mind: 1) To sell stuff, 2) To Some famous athletes who recorded SPARQ Ratings are: The SPARQ general athletic assessment test was composed of: The 40-yard dash was the simplest activity; an athlete runs 40 yards down a track, and his/her time is recorded by a trainer or other method. Jackson (24.2 BMI) is also the only WR to post a BMI below 24.5 and record a 1,000-yard season. Negative values indicates teams are more often playing from behind. EPA helps fantasy gamers understand the players that actually help an NFL team win games. RAS is provided free of charge, both the program and most of the data. Oregon went to the 3-4 in 2017/18 and he moved back to OLB. The average NFL player is pretty athletic, so this designation is not at all a poor result. Kadarius Toney (ADP: WR10) was one of the prospects my Pre-Combine model struggled with the most. Zeirlien also highlights his bend saying : Trevor Lawrence averaged 8.1 rushing FPG and 39.9 rushing YPG over his last two seasons at Clemson. I concluded the article saying basically this. Really intrigued by him. But, both times he was an edge. He was dinged partly due to size (58, 201 pounds), but also for a pedestrian 3-Cone an event which matters a great deal more for smaller RBs. Some Results. The SPARQ Magazine (Summer of 2008) also noted that the highest Basketball SPARQ rating score recorded for hoops was 89.70 by Brandan Wright, a 6' 9" forward who plays for the Golden State Warriors. Also notable was the score of 86.80 recorded by NCAA All-American Derrick Rose. They provided training videos and tips from a number of top speed, strength and conditioning coaches on their website. The best of the best, the most elite athletes, will score between 130 Zierlein's biggest knock on him is his skinny build. A pace above 2.50 is considered a very fast pace and under 2.00 is a very slow pace. He led Stanford in receiving yards last season, recording over twice as many as the next-closest receiver (33.3% YMS). Rakeem Boyd (ADP: RB20) posted a 3.6 SPORQ score. My analytics only 2022 NFL Draft Positional Rankings are just that -- the results of what my model spits out at me. He'd be a good candidate to send to Deebo Basically, Harris is a rich mans Jeff Janis. Because of this positive correlation over a large sample size between hand size and productivity, hand size is a relevant, predictive attribute for quarterbacks. National training companies include CATZ (the Competitive Athlete Training Zone) and Velocity Sports Performance. Hayden Winks is an NFL and NFL Draft writer for NBC Sports Edge. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Chases 173.0 ranks 20th-best. In 2019, his redshirt junior-year, he averaged 7.1 receptions, 119.9 yards, and 1.73 touchdowns per game. It's always interesting to dig into the SPARQ scores. But I kept these numbers the same partly because you can adjust them from here on your own if you so choose. Finally, they must switch direction and run another 5yards to the starting point. Hayden Winks is an NFL and NFL Draft writer for NBC Sports Edge. Who has the most serious red flags? Yo-Yo intermittent recovery test (beep test), "Nike SPARQ Training Ignites a revolution", "Rivals.com - SPARQ launches Pro Rating at NIKE Camps", "UF Asks company to take down Tebow's image", "SPARQ Magazine: Is Brian Clay the world's greatest athlete? And had he run, its possible Harris might look like an even better prospect than the one he already is (4th-best since 2015, per my Pre-Combine model). to back it up - even against top competition. Zierlein's biggest knock on him is his skinny build. Note 1: Big shoutout to the great Dane Brugler and his 2021 NFL Draft Guide, which you can find here. Comparing Alfred Morris and Roy Helus 2013 usage help to illuminate the utility of this metric. Warren Jackson (ADP: WR:30) posted a 7.9 SPORQ score. on the spreadsheet, to look up the combine numbers, etc. Jalen Camp (97.8), Simi Fehoko (93.6), Racey McMath (92.2), Michael Strachan (91.3), and Josh Imatorbhebhe (91.1) all posted elite SPARQ scores. When a given players supporting cast changes (via trade or free agency), this metric is particularly helpful, because it measures that players capabilities across league-average situations. True Yards Per Carry popularized by Zach Krueger in a piece written for PlayerProfiler, True YPC discounts all runs greater than 10 yards. Javonte Williams (67.3), Kenneth Gainwell (51.8), and Michael Carter (62.2) all retain their rankings, though Gainwells score was a bit underwhelming. Although hes still RB2 behind Harris in my personal rankings, that gap is now slightly closer, and Etienne looks much more like the truly special RB prospect I thought he would be. I have Friermuth ranked as my TE2 in this class in a tier alongside Long. Note that the NFL% and z-score columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. For wide receivers and tight ends, Air Yards are total target distance from the line of scrimmage to the catch point, and Completed Air Yards represents total receiving yards minus yards after the catch. Components. Definitely deserves a closer look. Expected Touchdown Differential the difference between expected and actual touchdowns scored. A.J. This means that a 0.0 z-score and 50.0 percentile would represent a player who rates as a league-average NFL athlete at the position. He ended that season totaling 568 yards from scrimmage and seven total touchdowns, which compared favorably to fourth-year junior Darius Slaytons 670 yards and five touchdowns. Deep Balls charts the total number of passing attempts that travel 20 yards or farther in the air. Because Nikes actual SPARQ formula is not public, we compared publicallyavailable SPARQ scores to their related input factors, reverse-engineered anapproximation of the SPARQ formula, and then applied the formula to eachplayers workout metrics. The far majority of RBs, WRs, and TEs who posted a great production score in college and a great athleticism score at the Combine were great players for fantasy. Elijah Mitchell skyrocketed up my ranking with an elite SPORQ score (94.9). Thats where Adjusted SPARQ comes in. Really intrigued by him. The aggregate Lifetime Value is calculated using recent NFL opportunity, productivity, and efficiency metrics for veteran players as well as prospect profile metrics such as draft capital, college production, and athleticism for young players and prospects. Tremble has decent size (at 63, 241 pounds) and is easily the best run blocker in this class, but hes also a player every production model is going to miss on. Scott Barrett combines a unique background in philosophy and investing alongside a lifelong love of football and spreadsheets to serve as FantasyPoints Director of Analytics and Lead DFS Writer. And in neither instance were those career-high marks. His numbers are absolutely absurd, but hes also fairly light for a TE. One of my favorite day three players. Note that the NFL% and z-score columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. The results from these tests are combined and weighted using a formula specific to football. For running backs, it is the percentage of total offensive production, because running backs are involved in both the running and passing game. Saddled with poor QB-play, Collins didnt do much in three seasons at Michigan, before sitting out in 2020, totaling just 78 catches, 1,388 yards, and 13 scores over this span. For calculation purposes, power ball throw wasconverted into bench press to ensure that all input factors aligned with specificNFL Scouting Combine events. 20-35% indicates a mid-level talent with situational upside. Henderson is the No. At 58, the numbers dont look much better either, with Cole Beasley being the most productive fantasy WR from that grouping. SPARQ's headquarters was in Portland, Oregon, with a distribution center in Oconomowoc, Wisconsin, until its sale to Nike in 2009 (Nike kept the distribution center open in Oconomowoc until March 2010). is going to be wholly arbitrary. Terms of Use https://www.playerprofiler.com/terms-of-use/, The Catch Radius Project: In Search of Better TD Production, introduction to the predictive qualities of air yards on RotoViz.com, https://www.playerprofiler.com/terms-of-use/. Tutu Atwell (ADP: WR16) posted a 38.3 SPORQ score, dropping from 69.6 after being heavily penalized due to an anomalously low weight (155 pounds) and low BMI (22.9). Hopefully he can improve at his Pro Day, or its impossible to give him a top-10 overall grade. The position requires in-depth knowledge and instincts, which isnt measured publicly in Indy.

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